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When Chuck Norris endorses a candidate the other guys drop out and apologize for running

That last part was a joke but an endorsement from Chuck Norris is one of the most coveted in the Republican Party.  Yesterday, writing in World Net Daily, Norris announced his endorsement for Gingrich and spelled out a powerful description of the problems faced by the United States.  Norris wrote:

I’m tired of watching our country being torn to shreds by those who think the answer is more government debt and control. I’m tired of being in bondage to a tax system that robs U.S. citizens like the king of England did before the Revolution. I’m tired of watching our sovereignty being sold by foreign loans and loose borders. And I will not sit back and merely watch this decay and degradation of the U.S. and then hand it over to my children and grandchildren to deal with.

I have no quibble with anything written by Norris but I am not sure Gingrich is the man to address these issues.  Gingrich once endorsed an individual mandate for health insurance and a cap and trade scheme for carbon emissions, among other things.  Gingrich often says exactly the things conservatives want to hear, but other times he sounds progressive notes about the need for a robust and active government.

I generally have little time for celebrity endorsements because most celebrities seem vapid and silly to me.  That said, Norris has built a second career for himself as a conservative commentator and author.  This gives an endorsement from Norris more weight than say, one from Matt Damon or Paris Hilton.  Endorsements rarely change elections but it is still significant for Norris to endorse Gingrich the day before the South Carolina primary.  Gingrich was already closing on Romney in the polls after two strong debate performances.  If Romney loses tonight he will be weakened going into Florida, but he and Ron Paul are still the only two candidates with the money to compete in Florida’s five media markets.

Whatever happens in South Carolina just remember: When Alexander Bell invented the telephone he had three missed calls from Chuck Norris.

Newt’s ex promises to sink his campaign

Given the marital baggage Newt Gingrich has been carrying I suppose it is better for him that this happen now, as oppose to during the general election were he to be the eventual nominee.  Newt’s second wife is set to conduct an interview with ABC Thursday, just two days before South Carolina primary voting.  Given that most voters are already aware of the issues in Newt’s personal life I am not sure this will be as explosive as most analysts think.  Still I doubt it will be helpful.

Gingrich calls for rivals to drop out

After a big night for Newt in the South Carolina debate he is calling for Perry and Santorum to drop out of the race.  He has a point that the three are competing for the “not Romney” vote and so splitting the vote between them strengthens Romney.  That said, I am always wary of politicians who claim others should get out of their way.  If Newt can’t convince voters to ignore Perry and Santorum and vote for him, that is his problem.

Newt picking up steam after debate performance

Newt Gingrich did very well in last night’s Republican debate in South Carolina.  I remarked in my debate coverage that he offered the best applause lines of the night.  He not only had some great lines, he was on point for the most of the debate.  Polls show voters are responding positively to Gingrich’s performance as well.  He is jumping up in polling leading up to the South Carolina primary this week.  I have spoken to many voters who have expressed a desire to make Gingrich the nominee just to have the opportunity to watch him debate Obama.  A few more nights like this last one and they may get it.

Thoughts from the Republican debate

Gingrich did very well at the end and I think “won” the debate with lines like: “99 weeks is an associates, you should be able to find a job” and “Andrew Jackson understood what to do about our enemies, kill them!”

Mitt Romney looked a bit like a deer in the headlights talking about hunting

Gingrich came out strong and did a good job explaining the concept of voluntary private accounts for social security.

Paul sharpened his national security chops a bit by making a distinction between those overseas who just want to be left alone and those who want to come here and kill us.

Perry finally learned how to debate and Paul said the income tax rate should go back to the original “0%”, good for them both.

Mitt Romney made no major mistakes and he did himself a big favor by endorsing Paul Ryan’s plan for Medicare.

Santorum is making some good points but he seems too intense and angry.

Huntsman out, Romney and Paul up; too early to say I told you so?

Yesterday I made a rather bold prediction that in the next few weeks the race for Republican nomination would settle into Romney vs. Paul.  Today John Huntsman dropped out of the race and endorsed Romney.  Romney also has a formidable lead in Florida while Paul is surging in South Carolina after picking up a high profile endorsement.  Romney will likely win in South Carolina with Paul finishing second.

I expect Mitt to win big in Florida and even though Paul is having difficulty breaking out of the 8% range there, I suspect he will do better as more candidates begin to drop out.  Perry will likely drop out of the race if he loses badly in South Carolina, which I think he will.  As for Santorum, he does not have the money or the organization to sustain a campaign much beyond South Carolina and he may drop out after Florida.  Gingrich is still a wild card, which admittedly is part of his charm, but Paul is still the only one besides Romney with the money and organization to go the distance.

Romney and Paul all the way to the convention?

It’s very early to make this call but I suspect that the Republican primary race is beginning to sort itself into a two person battle between Mitt Romney and Ron Paul.  Romney is likely to win in South Carolina and doing so after taking Iowa and New Hampshire will be akin to winning the Triple Crown.   With that under his belt he will likely have serious momentum going into the next round of primaries and be difficult to stop.  The only candidate with the money and the organization to stop Romney is Ron Paul.  Paul has the added benefit of a dedicated and loyal base of supporters.  As for the rest of the candidates, they look good on paper but their stars are clearly fading and on some level I think they know it.

Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum are getting desperate and launching personal attacks which are likely to turn off voters rather than attract new supporters.  As for Perry and Huntsman, I do not expect them to be factors in the South Carolina primary or much beyond.  Santorum continues to vie with Paul for second place in South Carolina but this speaks to Santorum’s overall weakness.  South Carolina is a conservative state and Santorum is arguably the most conservative candidate in the race, if he can’t pull out a win over libertarian Ron Paul or moderate Mitt Romney in a state like South Carolina, he may as well pack it in.  There is a long way to go but how I see this shaping up in the next few weeks is Mitt Romney becoming the presumptive nominee with Ron Paul dogging him all the way to the convention.

Mitt Romney likely to win in South Carolina

Mitt Romney is now up 21 points over his rivals in the South Carolina primary.  If Mitt pulls off the trifecta and the wins in South Carolina next week after already taking Iowa and New Hampshire, it is a safe bet the Republican nomination will be his to lose.  While anything can happen and there will still be 47 states left to vote (54 if you use Obama’s math), momentum (the “Big Mo”) is huge in politics and especially so in primaries.  There is a dynamic that builds on itself and creates positive and negative feedback loops around each candidate.  Donors and volunteers respond to these cues even more than regular voters and once momentum builds in one direction it can be difficult to stop the train.  Ron Paul might be able to pull off a last minute surge, but that doesn’t seem likely at this point.  Baring a misstep, Romney is likely to win South Carolina easily.

Administration’s union based attack on Boeing heats up

I wrote a few weeks ago regarding an attempt by President Obama’s National Labor Relations Board to punish Boeing for opening a new assembly line in South Carolina.  Recently both sides have been turning up the rhetoric with Republicans callingon the NLRB to cease their attacks on Boeing and Democrats accusing Boeing of violating labor laws.  At the core of this debate is the nothing less than the future of right to work in the United States; whether or not employees can be forced to join a union against their will.

Boeing opened a new assembly line for the 787 Dreamliner in South Carolina, a right to work state.  Right to work is a general term for laws which make joining a union voluntary.  This does not mean employees cannot unionize, it simply means unions cannot “close” a shop, by making joining the union a condition of employment.  Union bosses do not like right to work laws because they have to work harder to demonstrate value and convince employees to pay union dues.

At issue, according to the NLRB, is the reason why Boeing chose to open its new line in South Carolina.  According to the NLRB, if Boeing chose to open their new assembly line in South Carolina due to “legitimate” business concerns such as cost, then Boeing is within the law.  However, and again this is according to the NLRB, if Boeing chose South Carolina because they were concerned with strikes and labor issues at their unionized plants in Washington, than they are in violation of U.S. labor law and must close their plant in South Carolina, fire those employees, and shift production to their plant in Washington.  The bureaucrats at the NLRB, many of whom have never run a business or met a payroll, are going to pass judgment on the legitimacy of Boeing’s business decisions.

This is not only a travesty, but it is illustrative of some of the very reasons the economy remains mired in recession.  Is it any wonder business is afraid to invest when this administration has demonstrated on multiple occasions a willingness to punish and demonize business on behalf of union bosses and a leftist agenda?  The NLRB does not seem to care about the jobs in South Carolina that will be destroyed by their actions.  Those non-union workers do not seem to matter.  If this is allowed to stand, not only will it signal the death of right to work in the United States, but the next time a company is looking to expand they are likely to move operations overseas, out of reach of the left and their job killing agenda.  It doubt it is a coincidence that Boeing also recently opened a new composite parts assembly line in China.

Obama and union thugs punish Boeing for creating jobs in the U.S.

I have written many times about right to work laws and their potential to spur economic prosperity and development.  The right to work generally refers to laws which make it optional to join a union by preventing the existence of the “closed shop” where one is forced to join a union in order to work.  In a signal to his union allies that he needs their backing ahead of the 2012 election cycle, President Obama’s National Labor Relations Board has filed an unprecedented complaint against Boeing for opening a new production facility in South Carolina, a right to work state.  As shocking and unbelievable as this may sound in the United States of America, the administration is seeking an order from an administrative law judge to force Boeing to move production of the 787 Dreamliner to the union heavy state of Washington.

Union bosses are stridently opposed to right to work laws because they force the union to compete for membership by demonstrating their value to the workers.  Right to work states have also been at the forefront of economic growth and development for decades even as the union heavy states of the old rust belt have been declining in population and hemorrhaging jobs.  The classic comparison is the “transplant” automotive factories of foreign car companies dotting right to work states in the South, churning out top performing automobiles and creating more jobs each year.  Contrast this to the depressing performance of the union heavy plants the big three domestic auto makers still maintain in the Northeast and Upper Midwest.

Turning back to the Boeing case; Boeing identified a need for greatly expanded production to meet increased demand for their marquee new product, the 787 Dreamliner.  To fill this demand Boeing invested billions and created thousands of jobs building a new production facility in South Carolina, a right to work state.  Boeing’s CEO, Jim McNerney has stated that part of the decision to locate the new facility in South Carolina was the substantial cost of the multiple strikes Boeing has faced at its plants near Seattle over the past decade.  For years McNerney has talked about the need to shift production from Seattle to a more diverse set of locations.

The move by the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) to file a complaint against Boeing based on their decision of where to locate a production facility is unprecedented but not surprising.  President Obama has spent the past two years packing the NLRB with radical allies such as Craig Becker.  Becker once worked as a lawyer for the Service Employees International Union and has written that the NLRB could impose “card check” rules for union organizing, removing the secret ballot and allowing union thug intimidation of non-union employees, without an act of Congress. Obama installed Becker with a controversial recess appointment because even the Democrat Senate refused to confirm him.

This move is about one thing, letting the union bosses know that Obama will do what he has to do for their support; even bend the law and punish non-union workers like the employees of Boeing’s plant in South Carolina.  Though the union bosses may no longer represent what is in the best interest of the employees, they do represent what is in the best interest of their own wallets and Obama needs to keep their wallets fat because he will need their donations for his reelection campaign.  What is most ironic is that Boeing is attempting to expand production and create jobs in the midst of this economic crisis and the administration is seeking to punish them for it.

If the NLRB gets their way it may also be the death of right to work laws and the ability of firms to create jobs and expand the economy.  The National Right to Work Committee, an organization dedicated to preserving freedom of choice among workers, has even launched a new fundraising effort based on this issue and its potential to bring our fragile economic recovery to a screeching halt.  Regardless of how this turns out the lesson other companies will take is clear; don’t even bother trying to expand in the U.S., best to move your whole company, along with the associated jobs, out of the U.S. and to a country that still supports economic growth.

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